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team Graham Parlane

Chart of interest - USD/JPY

Posted by Graham Parlane on 28 May 2013


The USD/JPY has been consolidating its mammoth gains of recent months tracing out a ‘bull pennant’ between 96.00/100.00 over the last 4 weeks.

USDJPY – Click here to view chart

Friday’s jump higher on the U.S. payrolls data occurred perfectly out of my model.

USDJPY Model – Click here to view chart

The reason I believe USD/JPY is set to resume its uptrend after the month of sideways is, apart from Japan’s incredible monetary policy program, is that USD/JPY moves are highly correlated to U.S interest rate yields and as in my earlier chart of interest documenting the U.S. 10 year bond those yields look likely to go higher in coming weeks. Thus I believe we have a more fundamental support for USD/JPY again now.

Market talk has it that massive stop loss buy orders have accumulated above 100.00 so any move through there may well see an acceleration of the uptrend.

Regards G

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